2022 NCAA Basketball Tournament
Probability of Winning
Bracket
Position
Conference Region Regional
Seed
Overall
Seed
Team Play-In 1st Round Round
of 32
Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final
Four
Nat
Champ
1 WCC West 1 1 Gonzaga 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 80.1% 57.7% 44.4% 31.3%
49 Big 12 Midwest 1 3 Kansas 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 67.2% 49.3% 24.5% 11.1%
33 Pac-12 South 1 2 Arizona 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 49.7% 32.7% 21.4% 10.8%
37 AAC South 5 18 Houston 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 50.3% 32.7% 21.1% 10.7%
23 Pac-12 East 4 13 UCLA 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 58.7% 34.5% 12.6% 6.1%
47 Big East South 2 7 Villanova 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 66.1% 26.0% 14.2% 5.7%
27 Big Ten East 3 12 Purdue 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 70.5% 35.9% 12.2% 5.5%
11 Big 12 West 3 9 Texas Tech 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 50.0% 17.1% 9.5% 4.7%
15 ACC West 2 8 Duke 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 50.0% 16.9% 9.4% 4.6%
19 ACC East 8 29 UNC 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 41.3% 20.4% 6.1% 2.4%
55 Big East Midwest 4 14 Providence 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 32.8% 18.8% 6.4% 1.9%
7 SEC West 4 16 Arkansas 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 19.9% 8.3% 3.9% 1.6%
58 Big 12 Midwest 11 43 Iowa State 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 52.4% 17.9% 5.5% 1.5%
42 Big Ten South 11 42 Michigan 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 33.9% 8.6% 3.2% 0.8%
62 ACC Midwest 10 38 Miami (FL) 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 47.6% 13.9% 3.6% 0.8%
32 MAAC East 15 60 St. Peter's 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 29.5% 9.2% 1.7% 0.5%
25 Big 12 East 6 21 Texas 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
36 Big 12 South 9 34 TCU 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
17 Big 12 East 1 4 Baylor 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
31 SEC East 2 5 Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
63 SEC Midwest 2 6 Auburn 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
43 SEC South 3 10 Tennessee 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
59 Big Ten Midwest 3 11 Wisconsin 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
39 Big Ten South 4 15 Illinois 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 Big East West 5 17 Uconn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
53 Big Ten Midwest 5 19 Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
21 WCC East 5 20 Saint Mary's 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
57 SEC Midwest 6 22 LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
41 MWC South 6 23 Colorado State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9 SEC West 6 24 Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 Big Ten West 7 25 Michigan State 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
45 Big Ten South 7 26 Ohio State 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
61 Pac-12 Midwest 7 27 USC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
29 OVC East 7 28 Murray State 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
51 MWC Midwest 8 30 San Diego State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
35 Big East South 8 31 Seton Hall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 MWC West 8 32 Boise State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 AAC West 9 33 Memphis 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
52 Big East Midwest 9 35 Creighton 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
20 Big East East 9 36 Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
30 WCC East 10 37 San Francisco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
46 MVC South 10 39 Loyola (IL) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 A-10 West 10 40 Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 ACC West 11 41 Notre Dame 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 Big Ten West 11 41 Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
26 ACC East 11 44 Virginia Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
22 Big Ten East 12 45 Indiana 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
22 MWC East 12 45 Wyoming 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
54 A-10 Midwest 12 46 Richmond 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
38 C-USA South 12 47 UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6 WCAC West 12 48 New Mexico State 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 AEC West 13 49 Vermont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
40 Southern South 13 50 Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
56 Summit Midwest 13 51 South Dakota State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
24 MAC East 13 52 Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
28 Ivy East 14 53 Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
60 Patriot Midwest 14 54 Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
44 Big South South 14 55 Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 Big Sky West 14 56 Montana State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Big West West 15 57 Cal State Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
48 Colonial South 15 58 Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
64 A-Sun Midwest 15 59 Jacksonville State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
18 MEAC East 16 61 Norfolk State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
50 SWAC Midwest 16 62 Texas Southern 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
50 Southland Midwest 16 62 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
34 Horizon South 16 63 Wright State 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
34 NEC South 16 63 Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 Sun Belt West 16 64 Georgia State 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%